Financial stress,sovereign debt and economic activity in industrialized countries: Evidence from dynamic threshold regressions

We analyze how the impact of a change in the sovereign debt-to-GDP ratio on economic growth depends on the level of debt, the stress level on the financial market and the membership in a monetary union. A dynamic growth model is put forward demonstrating that debt affects macroeconomic activity in a non-linear manner due to amplifications from the financial sector. Employing dynamic country-specific and dynamic panel threshold regression methods, we study the non-linear relation between the growth rate and the debt-to-GDP ratio using quarterly data for sixteen industrialized countries for the period 1981Q1-2013Q2. We find that the debt-to-GDP ratio has impaired economic growth primarily during times of high financial stress and only for countries of the European Monetary Union and not for the stand-alone countries in our sample. A high debt-to-GDP ratio by itself does not seem to necessarily negatively affect growth if financial markets are calm.     

国有部门与非国有部门的工资差异及影响因素研究

基于CGSS数据，利用Heckman样本选择模型对中国国有部门与非国有部门的工资差异和影响因素进行系统研究。回归结果显示，国有部门员工的教育收益率高于非国有部门，教育收益率与学历水平呈现正相关关系，与非国有部门相比，国有部门中大学本科及以上学历员工的教育收益率更高。工资差异分解结果表明，两部门全样本工资差异中市场歧视占比高于特征差异占比，与全样本相比，大学本科及以上学历员工的工资总差异和特征差异占比更高，系数差异占比更低，说明高学历群体中部门间工资差异更为明显，而且两部门中仍存在较严重的劳动力市场分割和就业歧视问题。因此，政府应努力消除劳动力的流动性障碍，深化国有部门市场化改革，制定更为合理的工资机制，以促进中国经济的持续健康稳定增长。     

城镇化进程中农村金融需求变化问题的调查解析--基于江苏农户的问卷调查

经济决定金融，金融必须努力服务于经济发展方式转变。基于农户微观视角，通过农户问卷调查，研究城镇化进程中农户金融需求变化及其行为特征问题，分析农村金融供给现状及差距，探讨和构建适合新时期农村金融服务工作的发展机制，对促进江苏农村经济发展、提高城镇化水平具有重要现实意义。     

Debt problems,home‐leaving,and boomeranging: A register‐based perspective on economic consequences of moving away from parental home

This article analyses the development of financial problems after leaving one's parental home, and considers how financial problems are associated with likelihood of boomeranging (i.e., adult children returning to parental home). The 9‐year follow‐up study focused on a nationally representative sample of Finnish young people between the ages of 15 and 25 who moved out from their parental home between 2006 and 2009 (n = 9,196). The measure of debt problems was based on monthly data on debt enforcement, a legal matter which may bring serious consequences for the debtors. The primary within‐individual, longitudinal analyses showed that debt problems increased directly after leaving parental home. Education and family background were significant predictors of debt problems in the four years after leaving parental home. Early leavers had significantly more debt problems than later leavers. Debt problems were associated with a higher likelihood of moving back to parental home. The results imply that it is important to support economic decision‐making during early adulthood.     

农村土地细碎化治理及制度变革启示——安徽省怀远县“一户一块田”的实践探索

土地细碎化是当前我国农业生产的基本格局，也是农业适度规模经营和农业现代化的主要障碍之一。土地细碎化表面上是地块的细碎化。实质上是土地产权的细碎化，而无论是土地流转还是土地整治，都未能从根本上整合细碎化的土地产权。怀远县基于方便农民耕种的需要，在基层大胆创新的基础上，充分发挥集体组织调整土地的功能，通过“三不变、两提倡、一调整”形成了“一户一块田”的耕种模式，有效解决了土地细碎化难题。我国农村土地细碎化治理及制度变革，必须强化集体组织的土地统筹权利和能力，赋予其相应的土地（地块）调整职能，并加强农村基层组织建设；要立足于小农经济为主的基本国情，保护耕作者的利益，为满足现代化小农生产提供服务；既要尊重各地群众的意愿和创造性，也要规范指导，有序推进。     

新型小农经济发展观

小农经济以其独特的生命力生存于历史近万年,但传统的小农经济与社会主义公有制存在冲突。在社会主义社会大背景中,唯有在科学发展观指导下,对小农经济科学改造,形成新型小农经济—家庭承包经营,才能赋予了它新的生命力,并使其不断完善,走出具有中国特色的农村、农业社会主义现代化道路。     

Three Short Stories of Progressive Institutional Change

The process of institutional change is a fundamental theme in institutional economics. There are multiple avenues for forging institutional change — policies, laws, cultural norms, social movements, and social practices. I analyze three examples of progressive institutional change. While there are many to choose from, the three short stories focus on: (i) accounting for measures of housework and care work in GDP; (ii) transforming legal values through adoption of marriage equality in the United States; and (iii) interrogating the fresh-tomatoes food supply chain in order to achieve a penny-a-pound more in earnings for migrant field workers. Each of these examples of progressive institutional change involves changing values, a cumulative process.     

Putting ‘merchants of debt’ in their place: the political economy of retail banking and credit-based financialisation in Germany

Why did household debt in Germany not increase after the year 2000? This article offers a supply-side explanation for this deviant debt trajectory by tracing the historical evolution of retail banking in the German political economy. It argues that at the end of the 1990s and in the light of European Monetary Union, profitability issues and banking fragmentation became severe enough to interrupt the path towards credit-based financialisation as prevalent among other capitalist economies. These factors interacted with a traditional lack of tools and incentives for rapid credit expansion, even though they were renegotiated in the processes of financial liberalisation, internationalisation and innovation. By employing historical-qualitative as well as statistical evidence for the argument, the paper’s contribution becomes twofold. First, it introduces and conceptualises retail banking as a focal point in the analysis of national financial systems and their transformation. Second, it complicates the standard accounts of German non-financialisation and reveals the ‘contested’ character of financial reform.     

我国城乡差距的政策性因素分析——基于亚当·斯密城乡发展思想

市场经济理论之父亚当·斯密曾在他的不朽名著《国民财富的性质和原因的研究》一书中阐述了有关城乡发展的思想。根据亚当·斯密的城乡发展思想,对当前我国城乡差距的原因,进行了宏观政策层面上的分析,可为缩小我国城乡差距提供借鉴。     

重庆“钉子户”事件的物权法分析

重庆"钉子户"事件引起了社会的广泛关注。该事件的产生涉及若干《物权法》上的问题,也反映了目前我国城市房屋拆迁制度存在的缺陷。弥补这些缺陷应在《物权法》中明确界定"公共利益"的范围、确定拆迁补偿的规则,从而进一步完善《物权法》中的征收制度。